France vs Morocco prediction
Daniel Simpson
7 July 2026
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Primary prediction
- France Over 1.5 Goals needs France to score 2+ goals
- France are on for around 1.6 goals on our numbers
- The bookies rate this at about 53%
- Projected scoreline around 1.6–1.0.
Value angle
The standout value on the match is Morocco to win at 6/1. The price looks a touch bigger than it should be. We make it 16%, the book has it at 15%, so there is not much value baked into the price. Worth a saver, no more.
Our best bets
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France to Win Match result (1X2)8/131.62 Betfair Value
The 8/13 about France to win is worth a second look. The model and the odds are saying much the same thing, 59% against 62%. Sensible stakes, as ever.
-
Morocco to Win Match result (1X2)6/16.80 Betfair Value
Morocco to win at 6/1 is the one that stands out. Our model and the market are basically aligned, 16% against 15%. Worth a small interest at the price.
Prices show the bookmaker offering them and can move quickly — always check the live price before betting.
Higher risk / longshot angles
Draw Upside Angle
There is a quiet case for the draw at 3/1. We make it 25%, the book has it at 24%, so there is not much value baked into the price. It only appeals if you fancy the favourite to control it without finishing the job.
Correct Score 1-0
We rate Correct Score 1-0 at about 9%; the odds imply 7%.
Group stage & head-to-head
Tournament form & head-to-head
Group stage standing
Where they sit in the group table
Group stage totals — position and record in the group.
Tournament form
Each team's last 5 tournament matches
Each team's last 5 finished tournament matches — not H2H.
Bet builder ideas
Ready-made combinations to spark ideas. Prices are indicative — each selection is priced on its own, so the real Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're combined.
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France Over 1.5 Goals 8/111.75Team Total Goals
Why this selection
France Over 1.5 Goals at 1.75 with unibet. The bookies rate this at about 53%. That's a strong-favourite angle at a genuine price — we're not claiming extra value, just a confident lean — with a projected scoreline of around 2-1.
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Under 3.5 Cards 8/111.76Total Cards
Why this selection
Under 3.5 Cards at 1.76 with unibet — builder support from the cards market.
Indicative prices only — each selection is priced on its own, so the combined Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're put together. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Odds & prices
Where the prices sit
Prices as of Tue 7 Jul 2026, 13:18 · Odds move quickly — always check before placing · 18+ · BeGambleAware
| Bookmaker | France | Draw | Morocco | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Featured | ||||
| Betfred | 4/71.57 | 3/14.00 | 5/16.00 | Bet |
| Paddy Power | 4/71.57 | 11/43.80 | 5/16.00 | Bet |
| More prices | ||||
| Betfair | 8/131.62 | 3/14.10 | 6/16.80 | Bet |
| Matchbook | 8/131.62 | 3/14.10 | 6/16.80 | Bet |
| Smarkets | 8/131.61 | 3/14.10 | 6/16.80 | Bet |
| Casumo | 8/131.60 | 3/13.90 | 5/16.10 | Bet |
| Coral | 8/131.60 | 3/14.00 | 9/25.75 | Bet |
| Unibet | 8/131.60 | 3/14.00 | 9/25.75 | Bet |
| 888sport | 4/71.57 | 5/23.60 | 9/25.75 | Bet |
| Betway | 4/71.57 | 11/43.80 | 5/16.00 | Bet |
| Grosvenor | 4/71.57 | 11/43.80 | 5/16.00 | Bet |
| Ladbrokes | 4/71.57 | 3/13.90 | 9/25.75 | Bet |
| LeoVegas | 4/71.57 | 3/13.90 | 5/15.80 | Bet |
| LiveScore Bet | 4/71.57 | 11/43.80 | 5/15.80 | Bet |
| Virgin Bet | 4/71.57 | 11/43.80 | 5/15.80 | Bet |
| William Hill | 4/71.57 | 11/43.70 | 5/15.80 | Bet |
| BetVictor | 8/151.55 | 3/14.00 | 5/16.00 | Bet |
| BoyleSports | 8/151.55 | 11/43.75 | 11/26.50 | Bet |
| Sky Bet | 8/151.55 | 11/43.80 | 5/16.00 | Bet |
More markets
Cards, corners & more
Markets via SportMonks using bet365, BetVictor, Unibet and William Hill. Best available price shown per selection. 18+ · Odds correct at time of publishing.
Prices as of 7 Jul 2026, 13:19. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Core markets 6
Correct Score
Double Chance
Full Time Result
Half Time/Full Time
Goals markets 4
Goal handicap 1
Cards 1
Corners 7
More World Cup 2026
More from our World Cup 2026 coverage — the hub, group guides and the outright markets.