Argentina vs Algeria prediction

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Wed 17 Jun · 02:00 Arrowhead Stadium
Daniel Simpson Daniel Simpson 14 June 2026
Argentina
Argentina
Home
68%
Home
21%
Draw
12%
Away
Argentina win favoured
Algeria
Away
Algeria
Group Stage - 1 Group J Matchday 1
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City Round of 32
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Primary prediction

Argentina to Win
Match result (1X2)
2/51.42
betfair
high confidence

The 2/5 about Argentina to win is worth a second look. The model and the odds are saying much the same thing, 68% against 70%. Solid enough, but no gift at the price.

Value angle

Algeria to Win 9/1

The standout value on the match is Algeria to win at 9/1. The price looks a fair bit bigger than it should be. The numbers put it at 12% against the market's 10%, a touch bigger than it should be. Worth chancing at small stakes.

Higher risk / longshot angles

Draw Upside Angle

4/14.90

There is a quiet case for the draw at 4/1. Our model and the market are basically aligned, 21% against 20%. It only appeals if you fancy the favourite to control it without finishing the job.

Odds & prices

Where the prices sit

Prices as of Sun 14 Jun 2026, 17:23

Match result (1X2)

Bookmaker Argentina Draw Algeria
888 4/111.36 10/34.20 7/18.00
betfair 2/51.42 4/14.90 9/110.00
betfred_uk 4/111.36 7/24.50 8/19.00
betvictor 4/111.36 7/24.50 8/19.00
betway 4/111.38 7/24.50 15/28.50
boylesports 4/111.36 10/34.33 8/19.00
casumo 4/111.36 7/24.70 8/19.50
coral 2/51.40 4/14.80 7/18.00
grosvenor 4/111.35 7/24.60 8/19.00
ladbrokes 2/51.40 7/24.60 7/18.00
leovegas 4/111.36 7/24.70 8/19.50
livescorebet 4/111.35 7/24.60 8/19.00
matchbook 2/51.42 4/14.90 9/110.00
paddypower 4/111.36 7/24.50 15/28.50
skybet 4/111.36 7/24.50 15/28.50
smarkets 2/51.42 4/14.80 9/110.00
unibet 4/111.37 7/24.60 15/28.50
virginbet 4/111.35 7/24.60 8/19.00
williamhill 4/111.36 10/34.40 15/28.50

Totals

BookmakerLineOverUnder
casumo 2.5 10/111.88 10/111.88
grosvenor 2.5 10/111.88 10/111.88
leovegas 2.5 10/111.88 10/111.88
matchbook 2.5 11/102.06 10/111.92
williamhill 2.5 10/111.91 4/51.80

More markets

Cards, corners & more

Extra markets priced by bet365 and other UK bookmakers, via SportMonks. Odds can move quickly — always check the bookmaker before betting.

These extra markets aren't live for this fixture yet — they're pulled in closer to kick-off.

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