Australia vs Egypt prediction
Daniel Simpson
30 June 2026
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Primary prediction
- We rate Egypt at about 41%; the odds imply 39%
Value angle
Where the bookies look generous, it is Egypt at 13/8. The price looks marginally generous. Our read is roughly 41%, the price only allows for about 39%, so there is value in it. Fairly priced, no more.
Our best bets
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Egypt to Win Match result (1X2)13/82.60 Matchbook Value
At 13/8, Egypt to win is worth a look. The model and the odds are saying much the same thing, 39% against 38%. Sensible stakes, as ever.
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Australia to Win Match result (1X2)5/23.55 Betfair Value
The 5/2 about Australia to win is worth a second look. We make it 28%, the book has it at 28%, so there is not much value baked into the price. A small-stakes punt at the price.
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Over 3.5 Cards Total Cards8/131.61 Book-led
This needs 4 or more cards in the match
Prices show the bookmaker offering them. "Our estimate" means no UK bookmaker has priced that market up for this game yet, so it's a guide rather than odds you can back today. Always check the live price before betting.
Higher risk / longshot angles
Draw Upside Angle
If anywhere, the value sits with the draw at 2/1. Our model and the market are basically aligned, 33% against 33%. One to keep to small stakes.
Egypt Over 1.5 Goals
Egypt Over 1.5 Goals needs Egypt to score 2+ goals. Egypt are on for around 1.2 goals on our numbers. The bookies rate this at about 32%. Projected scoreline around 1.0–1.2.
Egypt to Win to Nil
Egypt need to win the game without conceding. We make it about a 40% chance Australia fail to score. We're projecting a tight Egypt win, around 1-1. Projected scoreline around 1.0–1.2.
Group stage & head-to-head
Tournament form & head-to-head
Group stage standing
Where they sit in the group table
Group stage totals — position and record in the group.
Tournament form
Each team's last 5 tournament matches
Each team's last 5 finished tournament matches — not H2H.
Bet builder ideas
Ready-made combinations to spark ideas. Prices are indicative — each selection is priced on its own, so the real Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're combined.
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Egypt 13/82.58Full Time Result
Why this selection
Egypt is our pick at 2.58 with betfair. We make it around 41%, a shade bigger than the 39% the odds imply — so there's a bit of value in the price.
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Egypt Over 1.5 Goals 15/82.90Team Total Goals
Why this selection
Egypt Over 1.5 Goals at 2.90 with betvictor. The bookies rate this at about 32%. That's a strong-favourite angle at a genuine price — we're not claiming extra value, just a confident lean — with a projected scoreline of around 1-1.
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Over 3.5 Cards 8/131.61Total Cards
Why this selection
Over 3.5 Cards at 1.61 with unibet — needs 4 or more cards in the match. The bookies' own prices point to this landing about 57% of the time. We don't run a cards model, so treat it as a sensible steer from the market rather than a value edge.
Indicative prices only — each selection is priced on its own, so the combined Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're put together. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Odds & prices
Where the prices sit
Prices as of Tue 30 Jun 2026, 10:39 · Odds move quickly — always check before placing · 18+ · BeGambleAware
| Bookmaker | Australia | Draw | Egypt | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Featured | ||||
| Betfred | 9/43.25 | 2/13.00 | 6/42.50 | Bet |
| Paddy Power | 9/43.30 | 7/42.80 | 6/42.45 | Bet |
| More prices | ||||
| Betfair | 5/23.55 | 2/12.98 | 13/82.58 | Bet |
| Matchbook | 5/23.55 | 2/12.98 | 13/82.60 | Bet |
| Smarkets | 5/23.55 | 2/12.98 | 13/82.58 | Bet |
| Casumo | 5/23.50 | 7/42.80 | 6/42.45 | Bet |
| Grosvenor | 5/23.50 | 7/42.80 | 6/42.45 | Bet |
| LeoVegas | 5/23.50 | 7/42.80 | 6/42.45 | Bet |
| LiveScore Bet | 5/23.40 | 7/42.75 | 11/82.40 | Bet |
| Virgin Bet | 5/23.40 | 7/42.75 | 11/82.40 | Bet |
| BetVictor | 9/43.30 | 7/42.80 | 6/42.45 | Bet |
| BoyleSports | 9/43.30 | 15/82.88 | 11/82.38 | Bet |
| Sky Bet | 9/43.30 | 7/42.80 | 6/42.45 | Bet |
| Unibet | 9/43.30 | 15/82.88 | 6/42.50 | Bet |
| Betway | 9/43.25 | 7/42.80 | 11/82.40 | Bet |
| Coral | 9/43.25 | 15/82.87 | 6/42.45 | Bet |
| Ladbrokes | 9/43.25 | 15/82.87 | 6/42.45 | Bet |
| William Hill | 9/43.20 | 7/42.80 | 11/82.40 | Bet |
| 888sport | 2/13.10 | 7/42.80 | 11/82.40 | Bet |
More markets
Cards, corners & more
Markets via SportMonks using bet365, BetVictor, Unibet and William Hill. Best available price shown per selection. 18+ · Odds correct at time of publishing.
Prices as of 29 Jun 2026, 16:57. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Core markets 6
Correct Score
Double Chance
Full Time Result
Half Time/Full Time
Goals markets 4
Goal handicap 1
Cards 1
Corners 7
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