Brazil vs Norway prediction
Daniel Simpson
5 July 2026
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Primary prediction
- Brazil Over 1.5 Goals needs Brazil to score 2+ goals
- Brazil are on for around 1.5 goals on our numbers
- The bookies rate this at about 55%
- Projected scoreline around 1.5–1.0.
Our best bets
-
Brazil to Win Match result (1X2)5/61.86 Matchbook Value
The 5/6 about Brazil to win is worth a second look. Our model and the market are basically aligned, 54% against 54%. Take it at sensible stakes.
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Norway to Win Match result (1X2)4/14.90 Betfair Value
There is a case for Norway to win at 4/1. We make it 20%, the book has it at 20%, so there is not much value baked into the price. Worth a small, speculative stake.
Prices show the bookmaker offering them and can move quickly — always check the live price before betting.
Higher risk / longshot angles
Draw Upside Angle
The draw at 11/4 is the saver here. The model and the odds are saying much the same thing, 26% against 26%. Worth a small saver if you fancy the draw.
Correct Score 1-0
We rate Correct Score 1-0 at about 9%; the odds imply 6%.
Norway
We rate Norway at about 25%; the odds imply 20%.
Brazil to Win to Nil
Brazil need to win the game without conceding. We make it about a 38% chance Norway fail to score. We're projecting a tight Brazil win, around 1-1. Projected scoreline around 1.5–1.0.
Brazil -1.5
Brazil -1.5 needs Brazil to win by 2+ goals. We make that about a 24% chance. Projected scoreline around 1-1. Projected scoreline around 1.5–1.0.
Group stage & head-to-head
Tournament form & head-to-head
Group stage standing
Where they sit in the group table
Group stage totals — position and record in the group.
Tournament form
Each team's last 5 tournament matches
Each team's last 5 finished tournament matches — not H2H.
Team news & lineups
Predicted line-ups
Updated: 5 Jul, 09:56
Predicted XI from our model — not confirmed yet; expect changes near kickoff.
Bet builder ideas
Ready-made combinations to spark ideas. Prices are indicative — each selection is priced on its own, so the real Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're combined.
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Brazil Over 1.5 Goals 8/111.70Team Total Goals
Why this selection
Brazil Over 1.5 Goals at 1.70 with betvictor. The bookies rate this at about 55%. That's a strong-favourite angle at a genuine price — we're not claiming extra value, just a confident lean — with a projected scoreline of around 1-1.
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Brazil -1.5 15/82.88Goal Handicap
Why this selection
Brazil -1.5 at 2.88 with unibet. Our model makes it about 24%. That's a strong-favourite angle at a genuine price — we're not claiming extra value, just a confident lean — with a projected scoreline of around 1-1.
Indicative prices only — each selection is priced on its own, so the combined Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're put together. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Odds & prices
Where the prices sit
Prices as of Sun 5 Jul 2026, 09:54 · Odds move quickly — always check before placing · 18+ · BeGambleAware
| Bookmaker | Brazil | Draw | Norway | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Featured | ||||
| Betfred | 4/51.80 | 11/43.75 | 10/34.20 | Bet |
| Paddy Power | 8/111.75 | 5/23.60 | 7/24.50 | Bet |
| More prices | ||||
| Matchbook | 5/61.86 | 11/43.80 | 4/14.90 | Bet |
| Betfair | 5/61.85 | 11/43.80 | 4/14.90 | Bet |
| Smarkets | 5/61.85 | 11/43.80 | 4/14.90 | Bet |
| Coral | 4/51.80 | 11/43.80 | 10/34.33 | Bet |
| Grosvenor | 4/51.80 | 5/23.60 | 10/34.25 | Bet |
| LeoVegas | 4/51.80 | 11/43.70 | 7/24.50 | Bet |
| Unibet | 4/51.80 | 11/43.75 | 7/24.50 | Bet |
| William Hill | 4/51.80 | 11/43.80 | 3/14.00 | Bet |
| Betway | 4/51.77 | 5/23.60 | 7/24.50 | Bet |
| Casumo | 4/51.77 | 11/43.65 | 7/24.70 | Bet |
| 888sport | 8/111.75 | 11/43.70 | 3/13.90 | Bet |
| BetVictor | 8/111.75 | 11/43.70 | 7/24.50 | Bet |
| Ladbrokes | 8/111.75 | 11/43.75 | 10/34.33 | Bet |
| LiveScore Bet | 8/111.75 | 5/23.60 | 7/24.50 | Bet |
| Sky Bet | 8/111.75 | 11/43.70 | 7/24.50 | Bet |
| Virgin Bet | 8/111.75 | 5/23.60 | 7/24.50 | Bet |
| BoyleSports | 8/111.73 | 11/43.75 | 10/34.33 | Bet |
More markets
Cards, corners & more
Markets via SportMonks using bet365, BetVictor, Unibet and William Hill. Best available price shown per selection. 18+ · Odds correct at time of publishing.
Prices as of 5 Jul 2026, 09:55. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Core markets 6
Correct Score
Double Chance
Full Time Result
Half Time/Full Time
Goals markets 4
Goal handicap 1
Cards 6
Corners 7
More World Cup 2026
More from our World Cup 2026 coverage — the hub, group guides and the outright markets.