England vs Congo DR prediction

Daniel Simpson Daniel Simpson 30 June 2026
England
England
Home
17:00
Wed 1 Jul
Congo DR
Congo DR
Away
69%
Win
20%
Draw
11%
Win
England win favoured
Round of 32 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
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Primary prediction

England -1.5
Goal Handicap
5/61.87
bet365
high confidence
  • England -1.5 needs England to win by 2+ goals
  • The bookies rate this at about 51%
  • Projected scoreline around 2-1
  • Projected scoreline around 1.8–0.6.

Our best bets

  • England to Win to Nil Win to Nil
    8/111.75 William Hill

    England need to win the game without conceding

  • England Over 1.5 Goals Team Total Goals
    4/91.46 Unibet

    England Over 1.5 Goals needs England to score 2+ goals

  • Over 2.5 Cards Total Cards
    4/71.58 Book-led

    This needs 3 or more cards in the match

  • England to Win Match result (1X2)
    3/101.30 Betfair

    England to win catches the eye at 3/10. That is the form pick, short but the most likely outcome. It is the most solid of the options here.

Prices show the bookmaker offering them. "Our estimate" means no UK bookmaker has priced that market up for this game yet, so it's a guide rather than odds you can back today. Always check the live price before betting.

Higher risk / longshot angles

Draw Upside Angle

5/15.80

There is a quiet case for the draw at 5/1. More about the price than a strong call on the numbers. It only appeals if you fancy the favourite to control it without finishing the job.

Correct Score 1-1

Correct Score 10/111.00

We rate Correct Score 1-1 at about 10%; the odds imply 9%.

England to Win by 3+ Goals

Winning Margin 2/13.10

England to Win by 3+ Goals needs a three-goal winning margin. We make that about a 20% shot. Priced off the England -2.5 goal-handicap line. Projected scoreline around 1.8–0.6.

Group stage & head-to-head

Tournament form & head-to-head

Group stage standing

Where they sit in the group table

Group stage totals — position and record in the group.

England Congo DR
1
advantage
Group position
3
7
advantage
Points
4
2
advantage
Wins
1
6
advantage
Goals scored
4
2
advantage
Goals conceded
3

Tournament form

Each team's last 5 tournament matches

Each team's last 5 finished tournament matches — not H2H.

England
W
D
W
Congo DR
D
L
W
England Congo DR
2.0
advantage
Avg goals scored
1.3
0.7
advantage
Avg goals conceded
1.0

Bet builder ideas

Ready-made combinations to spark ideas. Prices are indicative — each selection is priced on its own, so the real Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're combined.

Banker Builder 10/3 indicative
  • England -1.5 5/61.87
    Goal Handicap
    Why this selection

    England -1.5 at 1.87 with bet365. The bookies rate this at about 51%. That's a strong-favourite angle at a genuine price — we're not claiming extra value, just a confident lean — with a projected scoreline of around 2-1.

  • England Over 1.5 Goals 4/91.46
    Team Total Goals
    Why this selection

    England Over 1.5 Goals at 1.46 with unibet. The bookies rate this at about 64%. That's a strong-favourite angle at a genuine price — we're not claiming extra value, just a confident lean — with a projected scoreline of around 2-1.

  • Over 2.5 Cards 4/71.58
    Total Cards
    Why this selection

    Over 2.5 Cards at 1.58 with unibet — needs 3 or more cards in the match. The bookies' own prices point to this landing about 58% of the time. We don't run a cards model, so treat it as a sensible steer from the market rather than a value edge.

Indicative prices only — each selection is priced on its own, so the combined Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're put together. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Odds & prices

Where the prices sit

Prices as of Tue 30 Jun 2026, 10:39 · Odds move quickly — always check before placing · 18+ · BeGambleAware

🏆 Best available prices
England to win 3/101.30 Betfair Bet now
Draw 5/15.80 Betfair Bet now
Match result 1X2
Bookmaker England Draw Congo DR Bet
Betfred 2/71.29 4/15.00 Bet
Paddy Power 1/41.25 4/15.00 Bet
More prices
Betfair 3/101.30 5/15.80 Bet
Matchbook 3/101.30 5/15.80 Bet
Smarkets 3/101.30 9/25.70 Bet
Unibet 2/71.29 9/25.50 Bet
Coral 2/71.28 9/25.50 Bet
Casumo 2/71.27 4/15.25 Bet
LeoVegas 2/71.27 4/15.25 Bet
888sport 1/41.25 4/15.00 Bet
BetVictor 1/41.25 9/25.50 Bet
Betway 1/41.25 4/15.25 Bet
Grosvenor 1/41.25 9/25.40 Bet
Ladbrokes 1/41.25 4/15.25 Bet
LiveScore Bet 1/41.25 4/15.10 Bet
Sky Bet 1/41.25 4/15.00 Bet
Virgin Bet 1/41.25 4/15.10 Bet
William Hill 1/41.25 4/15.00 Bet
BoyleSports 2/91.22 4/15.00 Bet
Total goals Line: 2.5
Bookmaker Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Bet
More prices
Matchbook 1/12.02 1/11.97 Bet
Casumo 10/111.89 5/61.85 Bet
Grosvenor 10/111.89 5/61.85 Bet
LeoVegas 10/111.89 5/61.85 Bet
William Hill 4/51.80 10/111.95 Bet

More markets

Cards, corners & more

Markets via SportMonks using bet365, BetVictor, Unibet and William Hill. Best available price shown per selection. 18+ · Odds correct at time of publishing.

Prices as of 30 Jun 2026, 10:40. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Core markets 6

Correct Score

Bookmaker Selection Best odds Bet
Unibet 2:0 4/15.00 Bet
Unibet 1:0 9/25.75 Bet
William Hill 3:0 6/17.00 Bet
Unibet 2:1 8/19.50 Bet
bet365 Draw 0-0 9/110.00 Bet
+76 more selections at the bookmaker

Double Chance

Bookmaker Selection Best odds Bet
bet365 England or Draw 1/201.05 Bet
BetVictor Home/Draw 1/201.05 Bet
bet365 England or DR Congo 1/71.14 Bet
Unibet Home/Away 1/71.15 Bet
bet365 Draw or DR Congo 11/43.75 Bet
+1 more selection at the bookmaker

Draw No Bet

Bookmaker Selection Best odds Bet
bet365 1 1/161.06 Bet
bet365 2 9/110.00 Bet

Full Time Result

Bookmaker Selection Best odds Bet
Coral Home 2/71.28 Bet
bet365 Draw 9/25.50 Bet
Unibet Away 12/114.00 Bet

Half Time/Full Time

Bookmaker Selection Best odds Bet
bet365 England - England Home/Home 4/51.80 Bet
bet365 Draw - England Draw/Home 5/23.60 Bet
bet365 Draw - Draw Draw/Draw 6/17.00 Bet
bet365 England - Draw Home/Draw 20/121.00 Bet
bet365 Draw - DR Congo Draw/Away 22/123.00 Bet
+4 more selections at the bookmaker

Half Time Result

Bookmaker Selection Best odds Bet
BetVictor Home 8/111.73 Bet
bet365 Draw 6/42.50 Bet
bet365 Away 11/112.00 Bet
Goals markets 4
Away Team Goals Under 1.5 1/201.05
Away Team Goals Under 1.5 1/201.05
Both Teams to Score No 2/51.40
Both Teams to Score No 4/91.43
Home Team Goals Under 4.5 1/251.04
Home Team Goals Over 0.5 1/141.07
Win To Nil 1 To Win to Nil 8/111.72
Win To Nil Home 8/111.75
Goal handicap 1
Goal Handicap Away (-3.5) 1/121.08
Goal Handicap Home (-0.5) 2/91.22
Cards 1
Number of Cards In Match Under 4.5 4/91.43
Number of Cards In Match Under 3.5 8/151.54
Corners 7
Corner Handicap 2 (+4) 10/111.95
Corner Handicap 2 (+5) 1/12.00
Corners 2-Way Over 9.5 5/61.83
Corners 2-Way Under 9.5 5/61.83
Corners Over 5.5 1/121.08
Corners Under 13.5 1/81.12
Corners Race 1 3 1/81.12
Corners Race 1 5 2/91.22
1st Half Corners Over 4 10/111.90
1st Half Corners Under 5 10/111.90
Team Corners 2 Under 2.5 8/151.53
Team Corners 1 Under 7.5 4/61.66
Total Corners 9 - 11 13/82.62
Total Corners 6 - 8 2/13.10

More World Cup 2026

More from our World Cup 2026 coverage — the hub, group guides and the outright markets.

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