France vs Senegal prediction

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Tue 16 Jun · 20:00 MetLife Stadium
Daniel Simpson Daniel Simpson 14 June 2026
France
France
Home
63%
Home
23%
Draw
14%
Away
France win favoured
Senegal
Away
Senegal
Group Stage - 1 Group I Matchday 1
MetLife Stadium, New York New Jersey Round of 32
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Primary prediction

France to Win
Match result (1X2)
1/21.51
betfair
high confidence

France to win at 1/2 is the one that stands out. The model and the odds are saying much the same thing, 63% against 66%. It is the most solid of the options here.

Value angle

Senegal to Win 7/1

The standout value on the match is Senegal to win at 7/1. The price looks a touch bigger than it should be. We rate it around 14% where the book has it nearer 13%, so the price looks a bit big. One for a small, considered stake.

Higher risk / longshot angles

Draw Upside Angle

7/24.60

The draw at 7/2 is the saver here. Our model and the market are basically aligned, 23% against 22%. Worth a small saver if you fancy the draw.

Odds & prices

Where the prices sit

Prices as of Sun 14 Jun 2026, 10:37

Match result (1X2)

Bookmaker France Draw Senegal
888 4/91.44 3/14.00 11/26.50
betfair 1/21.51 7/24.60 7/18.00
betfred_uk 4/91.44 10/34.20 6/17.00
betvictor 4/91.44 10/34.20 13/27.50
betway 4/91.44 10/34.33 11/26.50
boylesports 4/91.44 10/34.20 6/17.00
casumo 4/91.44 10/34.35 13/27.50
coral 1/21.48 10/34.33 6/17.00
grosvenor 4/91.43 10/34.25 13/27.50
ladbrokes 1/21.48 10/34.33 6/17.00
leovegas 4/91.44 10/34.35 13/27.50
livescorebet 4/91.43 10/34.25 6/17.00
matchbook 1/21.51 7/24.60 7/18.00
paddypower 4/91.44 10/34.33 13/27.50
skybet 4/91.44 10/34.20 6/17.00
smarkets 1/21.50 7/24.50 7/18.00
unibet 4/91.45 10/34.35 6/17.00
virginbet 4/91.43 10/34.25 6/17.00
williamhill 4/91.44 10/34.20 11/26.50

Totals

BookmakerLineOverUnder
casumo 2.5 5/61.83 10/111.93
grosvenor 2.5 5/61.83 10/111.93
leovegas 2.5 5/61.83 10/111.93
matchbook 2.5 1/12.00 1/11.99
williamhill 2.5 5/61.85 5/61.85

More markets

Cards, corners & more

Extra markets priced by bet365 and other UK bookmakers, via SportMonks. Odds can move quickly — always check the bookmaker before betting.

These extra markets aren't live for this fixture yet — they're pulled in closer to kick-off.

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