Portugal vs Spain prediction
Daniel Simpson
6 July 2026
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Full time
Spain won (regular).
Primary prediction
Spain over 1.5 goals is our pick, with Yamal, Oyarzabal and Pedri giving them enough ways to hurt Portugal.
- Spain have scored three in each of their last two games, so them getting two goals against Portugal feels doable at the price.
- Portugal carry a threat of their own, but Spain’s control in midfield should mean better service to their attackers over the 90 minutes.
Our best bets
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Spain Over 1.5 Goals Team Total Goals5/61.85 BetVictor
Spain Over 1.5 Goals needs Spain to score 2+ goals
Prices show the bookmaker offering them and can move quickly — always check the live price before betting.
Higher risk / longshot angles
Group stage & head-to-head
Tournament form & head-to-head
Group stage standing
Where they sit in the group table
Group stage totals — position and record in the group.
Tournament form
Each team's last 5 tournament matches
Each team's last 5 finished tournament matches — not H2H.
Team news & lineups
Predicted line-ups
Updated: 6 Jul, 18:46
Predicted XI from our model — not confirmed yet; expect changes near kickoff.
Bet builder ideas
Ready-made combinations to spark ideas. Prices are indicative — each selection is priced on its own, so the real Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're combined.
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Spain Over 1.5 Goals 5/61.85Team Total Goals
Why this selection
Spain Over 1.5 Goals at 1.85 with betvictor. The bookies rate this at about 51%. That's a strong-favourite angle at a genuine price — we're not claiming extra value, just a confident lean — with a projected scoreline of around 1-2.
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Over 3 Cards 10/111.90Total Cards
Why this selection
Over 3 Cards at 1.90 with bet365 — builder support from the cards market.
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Over 2.5 Goals 4/51.80Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Why this selection
Over 2.5 Goals is our pick at 1.80 with williamhill. We make it around 57%, a shade bigger than the 52% the odds imply — so there's a bit of value in the price.
Indicative prices only — each selection is priced on its own, so the combined Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're put together. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Odds & prices
Where the prices sit
Prices as of Mon 6 Jul 2026, 18:44 · Odds move quickly — always check before placing · 18+ · BeGambleAware
| Bookmaker | Portugal | Draw | Spain | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Featured | ||||
| Betfred | 5/23.60 | 5/23.60 | 1/12.00 | Bet |
| Paddy Power | 3/14.00 | 5/23.40 | 10/111.91 | Bet |
| More prices | ||||
| Betfair | 10/34.30 | 11/43.65 | 1/12.00 | Bet |
| Matchbook | 10/34.30 | 5/23.60 | 1/12.00 | Bet |
| Smarkets | 10/34.30 | 11/43.65 | 1/12.00 | Bet |
| Casumo | 3/14.10 | 5/23.50 | 10/111.92 | Bet |
| BetVictor | 3/14.00 | 5/23.50 | 10/111.90 | Bet |
| Betway | 3/14.00 | 5/23.50 | 10/111.91 | Bet |
| Grosvenor | 3/14.00 | 5/23.50 | 10/111.89 | Bet |
| LeoVegas | 3/14.00 | 5/23.50 | 10/111.95 | Bet |
| LiveScore Bet | 3/14.00 | 5/23.40 | 10/111.89 | Bet |
| Sky Bet | 3/14.00 | 5/23.50 | 10/111.91 | Bet |
| Unibet | 3/14.00 | 5/23.50 | 10/111.95 | Bet |
| Virgin Bet | 3/14.00 | 5/23.40 | 10/111.89 | Bet |
| William Hill | 3/13.90 | 5/23.40 | 10/111.91 | Bet |
| 888sport | 11/43.80 | 9/43.30 | 10/111.91 | Bet |
| BoyleSports | 11/43.80 | 5/23.60 | 5/61.83 | Bet |
| Coral | 11/43.80 | 5/23.40 | 1/12.00 | Bet |
| Ladbrokes | 11/43.75 | 5/23.40 | 10/111.95 | Bet |
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Featured | |||
| Betfred | 4/61.67 | 11/102.10 | Bet |
| Paddy Power | 8/131.60 | 6/52.20 | Bet |
| More prices | |||
| Betfair | 8/111.70 | 11/82.42 | Bet |
| Coral | 8/111.70 | 11/102.10 | Bet |
| Ladbrokes | 8/111.70 | 11/102.10 | Bet |
| Matchbook | 4/61.69 | 11/82.42 | Bet |
| William Hill | 4/61.67 | 11/102.10 | Bet |
| LeoVegas | 4/61.65 | 5/42.25 | Bet |
| LiveScore Bet | 8/131.61 | 6/52.18 | Bet |
| Virgin Bet | 8/131.61 | 6/52.18 | Bet |
More markets
Cards, corners & more
Markets via SportMonks using bet365, BetVictor, Unibet and William Hill. Best available price shown per selection. 18+ · Odds correct at time of publishing.
Prices as of 6 Jul 2026, 18:46. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Core markets 6
Correct Score
Double Chance
Full Time Result
Half Time/Full Time
Goals markets 4
Goal handicap 1
Cards 6
Corners 7
More World Cup 2026
More from our World Cup 2026 coverage — the hub, group guides and the outright markets.