Senegal vs Iraq prediction
Daniel Simpson
14 June 2026
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Primary prediction
Senegal to win catches the eye at 4/9. Our model and the market are basically aligned, 65% against 69%. Solid enough, but no gift at the price.
Value angle
The standout value on the match is Iraq to win at 8/1. The price looks out of line with how we rate it. We rate it around 13% where the book has it nearer 11%, so the price looks a bit big. Worth chancing at small stakes.
Higher risk / longshot angles
Draw Upside Angle
The draw at 7/2 is the saver here. We make it 21%, the book has it at 22%, so there is not much value baked into the price. Worth a small saver if you fancy the draw.
Odds & prices
Where the prices sit
Prices as of Sun 14 Jun 2026, 17:23
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Senegal | Draw | Iraq |
|---|---|---|---|
| 888 | 2/51.40 | 10/34.20 | 13/27.50 |
| betfred_uk | 2/51.40 | 10/34.33 | 7/18.00 |
| boylesports | 4/111.36 | 10/34.33 | 7/18.00 |
| casumo | 2/51.42 | 7/24.50 | 7/18.00 |
| coral | 4/91.44 | 10/34.40 | 6/17.00 |
| grosvenor | 2/51.41 | 10/34.35 | 7/18.00 |
| ladbrokes | 4/91.44 | 10/34.40 | 6/17.00 |
| leovegas | 2/51.42 | 7/24.50 | 7/18.00 |
| livescorebet | 2/51.40 | 10/34.35 | 7/18.00 |
| paddypower | 2/51.40 | 10/34.40 | 7/18.00 |
| skybet | 2/51.40 | 10/34.33 | 13/27.50 |
| smarkets | 2/51.39 | 7/24.60 | 8/18.80 |
| unibet | 2/51.40 | 7/24.50 | 13/27.50 |
| virginbet | 2/51.40 | 10/34.35 | 7/18.00 |
| williamhill | 2/51.40 | 10/34.33 | 13/27.50 |
Totals
| Bookmaker | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| casumo | 2.5 | 10/111.88 | 10/111.88 |
| grosvenor | 2.5 | 10/111.88 | 10/111.88 |
| leovegas | 2.5 | 10/111.88 | 10/111.88 |
| williamhill | 2.5 | 5/61.85 | 5/61.85 |
More markets
Cards, corners & more
Extra markets priced by bet365 and other UK bookmakers, via SportMonks. Odds can move quickly — always check the bookmaker before betting.
These extra markets aren't live for this fixture yet — they're pulled in closer to kick-off.
More World Cup 2026
More from our World Cup 2026 coverage — the hub, group guides and the outright markets.