Spain vs Austria prediction
Daniel Simpson
30 June 2026
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Primary prediction
- Spain -1.5 needs Spain to win by 2+ goals
- The bookies rate this at about 47%
- Projected scoreline around 2-1
- Projected scoreline around 1.7–1.1.
Our best bets
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Spain Over 1.5 Goals Team Total Goals4/91.47 BetVictor
Spain Over 1.5 Goals needs Spain to score 2+ goals
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Under 3.5 Cards Total Cards4/71.58 Book-led
This needs 3 cards or fewer in the match
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Spain to Win Match result (1X2)4/111.35 Betfair Value
Spain to win at 4/11 is the one that stands out. The model and the odds are saying much the same thing, 74% against 74%. Solid enough, but no gift at the price.
Prices show the bookmaker offering them. "Our estimate" means no UK bookmaker has priced that market up for this game yet, so it's a guide rather than odds you can back today. Always check the live price before betting.
Higher risk / longshot angles
Draw Upside Angle
The draw at 9/2 is the saver here. Our model and the market are basically aligned, 18% against 18%. One to keep to small stakes.
Correct Score 1-1
We rate Correct Score 1-1 at about 11%; the odds imply 10%.
Group stage & head-to-head
Tournament form & head-to-head
Group stage standing
Where they sit in the group table
Group stage totals — position and record in the group.
Tournament form
Each team's last 5 tournament matches
Each team's last 5 finished tournament matches — not H2H.
Bet builder ideas
Ready-made combinations to spark ideas. Prices are indicative — each selection is priced on its own, so the real Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're combined.
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Spain -1.5 1/12.02Goal Handicap
Why this selection
Spain -1.5 at 2.02 with bet365. The bookies rate this at about 47%. That's a strong-favourite angle at a genuine price — we're not claiming extra value, just a confident lean — with a projected scoreline of around 2-1.
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Spain Over 1.5 Goals 4/91.47Team Total Goals
Why this selection
Spain Over 1.5 Goals at 1.47 with betvictor. The bookies rate this at about 63%. That's a strong-favourite angle at a genuine price — we're not claiming extra value, just a confident lean — with a projected scoreline of around 2-1.
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Under 3.5 Cards 4/71.58Total Cards
Why this selection
Under 3.5 Cards at 1.58 with unibet — needs 3 cards or fewer in the match. The bookies' own prices point to this landing about 58% of the time. We don't run a cards model, so treat it as a sensible steer from the market rather than a value edge.
Indicative prices only — each selection is priced on its own, so the combined Bet Builder price at your bookmaker will differ once they're put together. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Odds & prices
Where the prices sit
Prices as of Tue 30 Jun 2026, 10:39 · Odds move quickly — always check before placing · 18+ · BeGambleAware
| Bookmaker | Spain | Draw | Austria | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Featured | ||||
| Betfred | 3/101.30 | 4/15.00 | 10/111.00 | Bet |
| Paddy Power | 2/71.29 | 4/15.00 | 9/110.00 | Bet |
| More prices | ||||
| Betfair | 4/111.35 | 9/25.50 | 11/112.00 | Bet |
| Matchbook | 4/111.35 | 9/25.50 | 11/112.00 | Bet |
| Smarkets | 1/31.34 | 9/25.50 | 11/112.00 | Bet |
| Unibet | 1/31.34 | 4/15.00 | 8/19.50 | Bet |
| Casumo | 1/31.33 | 4/15.10 | 9/110.00 | Bet |
| Coral | 1/31.33 | 4/15.25 | 9/110.00 | Bet |
| Grosvenor | 1/31.33 | 4/15.10 | 9/110.00 | Bet |
| LeoVegas | 1/31.33 | 4/15.10 | 9/110.00 | Bet |
| William Hill | 1/31.33 | 4/14.80 | 8/19.00 | Bet |
| LiveScore Bet | 1/31.32 | 4/14.90 | 8/19.50 | Bet |
| Virgin Bet | 1/31.32 | 4/14.90 | 8/19.50 | Bet |
| 888sport | 3/101.30 | 7/24.60 | 8/19.00 | Bet |
| BetVictor | 3/101.30 | 4/15.00 | 9/110.50 | Bet |
| Betway | 3/101.30 | 4/15.00 | 8/19.00 | Bet |
| BoyleSports | 3/101.30 | 7/24.75 | 9/110.00 | Bet |
| Ladbrokes | 3/101.30 | 4/15.00 | 8/19.50 | Bet |
| Sky Bet | 3/101.30 | 4/15.00 | 9/110.00 | Bet |
More markets
Cards, corners & more
Markets via SportMonks using bet365, BetVictor, Unibet and William Hill. Best available price shown per selection. 18+ · Odds correct at time of publishing.
Prices as of 30 Jun 2026, 10:40. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Core markets 6
Correct Score
Double Chance
Full Time Result
Half Time/Full Time
Goals markets 4
Goal handicap 1
Cards 1
Corners 7
More World Cup 2026
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