Sweden vs Tunisia prediction
Daniel Simpson
14 June 2026
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Primary prediction
The 1/1 about Sweden to win is worth a second look. We make it 49%, the book has it at 50%, so there is not much value baked into the price. Fairly priced, no more.
Higher risk / longshot angles
Draw Upside Angle
There is a quiet case for the draw at 5/2. The model and the odds are saying much the same thing, 28% against 29%. More of a small saver than a main bet.
Correct Score 2-0
There is a case for a 2-0 scoreline at 20/1. We rate it around 7% where the book has it nearer 5%, so the price looks a bit big. Not the likeliest result, so keep the stake small.
Correct Score 2-1
At 14/1, a 2-1 scoreline is worth a look. We make it about 8%, the bookies closer to 7%, and that gap is where the value sits. One for a small, considered stake.
Tunisia
Tunisia at 10/3 is the one that stands out. We've got it near 26% against the market's 22%, which is why it reads as overpriced. Worth a saver, no more.
Correct Score 1-0
A 1-0 scoreline catches the eye at 10/1. Our model and the market are basically aligned, 10% against 9%. Small stakes only on this one.
Team news & lineups
Predicted line-ups
Updated: 14 Jun, 10:38
Predicted XI from our model — not confirmed yet; expect changes near kickoff.
Odds & prices
Where the prices sit
Prices as of Sun 14 Jun 2026, 17:23
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Sweden | Draw | Tunisia |
|---|---|---|---|
| 888 | 5/61.85 | 9/43.20 | 3/14.00 |
| betfair | 1/11.99 | 5/23.50 | 7/24.60 |
| betfred_uk | 10/111.95 | 5/23.40 | 3/14.00 |
| betvictor | 10/111.90 | 5/23.40 | 3/14.10 |
| betway | 10/111.91 | 5/23.40 | 3/14.00 |
| boylesports | 10/111.91 | 9/43.30 | 3/14.00 |
| casumo | 5/61.85 | 5/23.45 | 7/24.50 |
| coral | 10/111.91 | 5/23.40 | 10/34.20 |
| grosvenor | 5/61.83 | 5/23.40 | 10/34.40 |
| ladbrokes | 10/111.91 | 9/43.30 | 10/34.20 |
| leovegas | 5/61.85 | 5/23.45 | 7/24.50 |
| livescorebet | 5/61.83 | 5/23.40 | 10/34.35 |
| matchbook | 1/11.99 | 5/23.50 | 7/24.60 |
| paddypower | 10/111.90 | 9/43.30 | 10/34.33 |
| skybet | 10/111.90 | 5/23.40 | 10/34.20 |
| smarkets | 1/11.98 | 5/23.50 | 7/24.50 |
| unibet | 10/111.95 | 5/23.40 | 10/34.20 |
| virginbet | 5/61.83 | 5/23.40 | 10/34.35 |
| williamhill | 10/111.91 | 9/43.25 | 3/14.00 |
Totals
| Bookmaker | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| casumo | 2.5 | 6/52.18 | 4/61.65 |
| grosvenor | 2.5 | 6/52.18 | 4/61.65 |
| leovegas | 2.5 | 6/52.18 | 4/61.65 |
| williamhill | 2.5 | 1/12.05 | 8/111.70 |
More markets
Cards, corners & more
Extra markets priced by bet365 and other UK bookmakers, via SportMonks. Odds can move quickly — always check the bookmaker before betting.
Prices as of 14 Jun 2026, 17:24. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Core markets 6
Correct Score
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1:0 | 5/16.00 | 16.67% |
| BetVictor | 1:0 | 5/16.00 | 16.67% |
| William Hill | 1:0 | 5/16.00 | 16.67% |
| William Hill | 1:1 | 5/16.00 | 16.67% |
| Unibet | 1:0 | 5/16.25 | 16% |
| Unibet | 1:1 | 5/16.25 | 16% |
| bet365 | 1-0 | 11/26.50 | 15.38% |
| bet365 | Draw 1-1 | 11/26.50 | 15.38% |
| BetVictor | 1:1 | 11/26.50 | 15.38% |
| 888sport | 2:1 | 13/27.50 | 13.33% |
| William Hill | 2:1 | 13/27.50 | 13.33% |
| William Hill | 0:0 | 7/18.00 | 12.5% |
| +164 more selections at the bookmaker | |||
Double Chance
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | Home/Draw | 1/51.20 | 83.33% |
| William Hill | Home/Draw | 1/51.20 | 83.33% |
| bet365 | Sweden or Draw | 2/91.22 | 81.83% |
| 888sport | Home/Draw | 2/91.22 | 81.97% |
| BetVictor | Home/Draw | 2/91.22 | 81.97% |
| 888sport | Home/Away | 3/101.30 | 76.92% |
| bet365 | Sweden or Tunisia | 3/101.30 | 76.92% |
| BetVictor | Home/Away | 3/101.30 | 76.92% |
| Unibet | Home/Away | 3/101.30 | 76.92% |
| William Hill | Home/Away | 1/31.33 | 75.19% |
| bet365 | Draw or Tunisia | 5/61.83 | 54.56% |
| 888sport | Draw/Away | 5/61.83 | 54.64% |
| +3 more selections at the bookmaker | |||
Draw No Bet
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1 | 4/111.36 | 73.37% |
| bet365 | 2 | 2/13.00 | 33.33% |
Full Time Result
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | Home | 5/61.85 | 54.05% |
| Unibet | Home | 10/111.89 | 52.91% |
| bet365 | Home | 10/111.90 | 52.38% |
| BetVictor | Home | 10/111.90 | 52.63% |
| Coral | Home | 10/111.91 | 52.36% |
| Ladbrokes | Home | 10/111.91 | 52.36% |
| William Hill | Home | 10/111.91 | 52.36% |
| 888sport | Draw | 9/43.20 | 31.25% |
| William Hill | Draw | 9/43.25 | 30.77% |
| Ladbrokes | Draw | 9/43.30 | 30.3% |
| bet365 | Draw | 5/23.40 | 29.41% |
| BetVictor | Draw | 5/23.40 | 29.41% |
| +9 more selections at the bookmaker | |||
Half Time/Full Time
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | Sweden - Sweden Home/Home | 2/13.00 | 33.33% |
| bet365 | Draw - Sweden Draw/Home | 7/24.75 | 21.05% |
| bet365 | Draw - Draw Draw/Draw | 7/24.75 | 21.05% |
| bet365 | Tunisia - Tunisia Away/Away | 6/17.00 | 14.29% |
| bet365 | Draw - Tunisia Draw/Away | 15/28.50 | 11.76% |
| bet365 | Sweden - Draw Home/Draw | 12/113.00 | 7.69% |
| bet365 | Tunisia - Draw Away/Draw | 14/115.00 | 6.67% |
| bet365 | Tunisia - Sweden Away/Home | 25/126.00 | 3.85% |
| bet365 | Sweden - Tunisia Home/Away | 33/134.00 | 2.94% |
Half Time Result
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | Draw | 1/12.00 | 50% |
| Unibet | Draw | 1/12.04 | 49.02% |
| 888sport | Draw | 1/12.05 | 48.78% |
| BetVictor | Draw | 1/12.05 | 48.78% |
| bet365 | Draw | 11/102.10 | 47.62% |
| 888sport | Home | 6/42.45 | 40.82% |
| Unibet | Home | 6/42.45 | 40.82% |
| William Hill | Home | 6/42.45 | 40.82% |
| bet365 | Home | 6/42.50 | 40% |
| BetVictor | Home | 13/82.60 | 38.46% |
| 888sport | Away | 7/24.50 | 22.22% |
| Unibet | Away | 7/24.50 | 22.22% |
| +3 more selections at the bookmaker | |||
Goals 1
Both Teams to Score
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | No | 4/51.79 | 55.87% |
| bet365 | No | 4/51.80 | 55.56% |
| BetVictor | No | 4/51.80 | 55.56% |
| 888sport | Yes | 5/61.85 | 54.05% |
| William Hill | Yes | 5/61.85 | 54.05% |
| 888sport | No | 10/111.91 | 52.36% |
| William Hill | No | 10/111.91 | 52.36% |
| Unibet | Yes | 10/111.92 | 52.08% |
| BetVictor | Yes | 10/111.93 | 51.81% |
| bet365 | Yes | 10/111.95 | 51.28% |
Cards 6
Asian Total Cards
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | Over 3.5 | 8/111.75 | 57.14% |
| bet365 | Over 4.0 | 5/61.85 | 54.05% |
| bet365 | Under 4.0 | 10/111.95 | 51.28% |
| bet365 | Under 3.5 | 1/12.05 | 48.78% |
Both Teams to Receive a Card
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | Yes a Card | 3/101.30 | 76.92% |
| bet365 | No a Card | 5/23.40 | 29.41% |
Card Handicap
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2 (0) | 5/42.30 | 43.48% |
| bet365 | 1 (0) | 6/42.50 | 40% |
First Card Received
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2 | 5/61.83 | 54.56% |
| bet365 | 1 | 10/111.95 | 51.23% |
| bet365 | No Card | 18/119.00 | 5.26% |
Red Card in the Match
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | No Match | 2/111.18 | 84.67% |
| bet365 | Yes Match | 7/24.50 | 22.22% |
Number of Cards In Match
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | Over 2.5 | 1/31.32 | 75.76% |
| Unibet | Under 4.5 | 4/91.46 | 68.49% |
| bet365 | Under 4.5 | 8/131.61 | 61.92% |
| bet365 | Over 3.5 | 8/111.72 | 57.9% |
| Unibet | Over 3.5 | 8/111.73 | 57.8% |
| Unibet | Under 3.5 | 1/11.96 | 51.02% |
| bet365 | Under 3.5 | 1/12.00 | 50% |
| bet365 | Over 4.5 | 6/52.20 | 45.45% |
| Unibet | Over 4.5 | 6/42.48 | 40.32% |
| Unibet | Under 2.5 | 2/13.05 | 32.79% |
Corners 7
Corner Handicap
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1 (-1) | 10/111.90 | 52.38% |
| bet365 | 2 (+1) | 6/52.20 | 45.45% |
| bet365 | Tie (+1) | 7/18.00 | 12.5% |
Corners 2-Way
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | Over 9.5 | 5/61.83 | 54.56% |
| bet365 | Under 9.5 | 5/61.83 | 54.56% |
Corners
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | Under 14.5 | 1/161.06 | 94.34% |
| Unibet | Over 5.5 | 1/121.08 | 92.59% |
| Unibet | Under 13.5 | 1/91.11 | 90.09% |
| Unibet | Over 6.5 | 1/61.16 | 86.21% |
| Unibet | Under 12.5 | 1/51.20 | 83.33% |
| Unibet | Over 7.5 | 3/101.30 | 76.92% |
| Unibet | Under 11.5 | 1/31.33 | 75.19% |
| Unibet | Under 10.5 | 8/151.52 | 65.79% |
| Unibet | Over 8.5 | 8/151.53 | 65.36% |
| bet365 | Over 9 | 5/61.83 | 54.56% |
| Unibet | Under 9.5 | 5/61.85 | 54.05% |
| Unibet | Over 9.5 | 5/61.87 | 53.48% |
| +14 more selections at the bookmaker | |||
Corners Race
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | Neither 9 | 1/71.14 | 87.57% |
| bet365 | 1 3 | 8/151.53 | 65.23% |
| bet365 | Neither 7 | 4/61.66 | 60.02% |
| bet365 | 1 5 | 4/51.80 | 55.56% |
| bet365 | 2 3 | 11/82.37 | 42.11% |
| bet365 | 1 7 | 15/82.87 | 34.78% |
| bet365 | 2 5 | 9/43.20 | 31.25% |
| bet365 | Neither 5 | 3/14.00 | 25% |
| bet365 | 2 7 | 9/25.50 | 18.18% |
| bet365 | 1 9 | 5/16.00 | 16.67% |
| bet365 | 2 9 | 14/115.00 | 6.67% |
| bet365 | Neither 3 | 33/134.00 | 2.94% |
1st Half Corners
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | Over 4 | 10/111.90 | 52.38% |
| bet365 | Under 4 | 7/42.75 | 36.36% |
| bet365 | Exactly 4 | 4/15.00 | 20% |
Team Corners
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2 Over 3.5 | 4/61.66 | 60.02% |
| bet365 | 1 Under 5.5 | 8/111.72 | 57.9% |
| bet365 | 1 Over 5.5 | 1/12.00 | 50% |
| bet365 | 2 Under 3.5 | 11/102.10 | 47.62% |
Total Corners
| Bookmaker | Selection | Price | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 9 - 11 | 13/82.62 | 38.1% |
| bet365 | 6 - 8 | 2/13.00 | 33.33% |
| bet365 | 12 - 14 | 7/24.50 | 22.22% |
| bet365 | Under 6 | 8/19.00 | 11.11% |
| bet365 | Over 14 | 10/111.00 | 9.09% |
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