USA vs Australia prediction

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Fri 19 Jun · 20:00 Lumen Field
Daniel Simpson Daniel Simpson 10 June 2026
USA
USA
Home
54%
Home
25%
Draw
21%
Away
USA win favoured
Australia
Away
Australia
Group Stage - 2 Group D Matchday 2
Lumen Field, Seattle Playoffs
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Primary prediction

USA to Win
Match result (1X2)
4/51.79
betfair
medium confidence

The 4/5 about USA to win is worth a second look. Our model and the market are basically aligned, 54% against 56%. Take it at sensible stakes.

Higher risk / longshot angles

Draw Upside Angle

3/14.00

There is a quiet case for the draw at 3/1. The model and the odds are saying much the same thing, 25% against 25%. One to keep to small stakes.

Odds & prices

Where the prices sit

Prices as of Wed 10 Jun 2026, 18:58

Match result (1X2)

Bookmaker USA Draw Australia
888 8/111.70 5/23.60 10/34.40
betfair 4/51.77 3/14.00 7/24.60
betfred_uk 8/111.73 11/43.75 7/24.60
boylesports 8/111.70 11/43.75 7/24.75
casumo 4/51.79 11/43.70 7/24.50
coral 8/111.75 5/23.60 7/24.60
grosvenor 4/51.78 11/43.70 7/24.50
ladbrokes 8/111.75 5/23.60 7/24.60
leovegas 4/51.79 11/43.70 7/24.50
livescorebet 8/111.76 5/23.60 10/34.40
paddypower 8/111.70 11/43.75 7/24.75
skybet 8/111.70 5/23.60 7/24.75
smarkets 4/51.77 3/14.00 7/24.70
unibet 8/111.73 11/43.75 10/34.35
virginbet 8/111.76 5/23.60 10/34.40
williamhill 8/111.73 11/43.70 7/24.50

Totals

BookmakerLineOverUnder
casumo 2.5 1/12.04 8/111.74
grosvenor 2.5 1/12.04 8/111.74
leovegas 2.5 1/12.04 8/111.74
williamhill 2.5 1/12.00 8/111.73

More markets

Cards, corners & more

Extra markets priced by bet365 and other UK bookmakers, via SportMonks. Odds can move quickly — always check the bookmaker before betting.

These extra markets aren't live for this fixture yet — they're pulled in closer to kick-off.

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