Premier League 2026/27
Premier League sack race 2026/27
Next manager to be sacked: odds and our pressure index. Prices from the bookmakers, our pressure score for all 20 managers, and every manager to leave this season.
Written by Daniel Simpson
Index updated after matchweek 8 (25 Oct 2026) Data checked 26 Oct, 00:24
Next Premier League manager to leave: odds
Prices from Coral at 25 Oct, 20:30 · Prices from Ladbrokes at 25 Oct, 20:30
| Manager |
Coral
|
Ladbrokes
|
Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
Michael Carrick
Manchester United
|
2/5 | 2/5 | 44% |
Pierre Sage
Crystal Palace
|
3/1 | 3/1 | 15% |
Álvaro Arbeloa
Fulham
|
6/1 | 6/1 | 8.8% |
Matthias Jaissle
Newcastle
|
12/1 | 12/1 | 4.8% |
Oliver Glasner
Nottingham Forest
|
12/1 | 12/1 | 4.8% |
Roberto De Zerbi
Tottenham
|
14/1 | 14/1 | 4.1% |
Régis Le Bris
Sunderland
|
20/1 | 20/1 | 3.0% |
Frank Lampard
Coventry
|
25/1 | 25/1 | 2.4% |
Enzo Maresca
Manchester City
|
33/1 | 33/1 | 1.8% |
Gary O'Neil
Ipswich
|
40/1 | 40/1 | 1.5% |
David Moyes
Everton
|
40/1 | 40/1 | 1.5% |
Marco Rose
Bournemouth
|
50/1 | 50/1 | 1.2% |
Sergej Jakirović
Hull City
|
50/1 | 50/1 | 1.2% |
Andoni Iraola
Liverpool
|
66/1 | 66/1 | 0.9% |
Xabi Alonso
Chelsea
|
66/1 | 66/1 | 0.9% |
Unai Emery
Aston Villa
|
66/1 | 66/1 | 0.9% |
Fabian Hürzeler
Brighton
|
100/1 | 100/1 | 0.6% |
Keith Andrews
Brentford
|
100/1 | 100/1 | 0.6% |
Mikel Arteta
Arsenal
|
100/1 | 100/1 | 0.6% |
Daniel Farke
Leeds
|
100/1 | 100/1 | 0.6% |
More bookmakers pricing the sack race
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Sky Bet
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Paddy Power
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bet365
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Betfred
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888sport
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Manager pressure index
Our score out of 100 for every Premier League manager, built from results, the table against last season, xG and winless runs. The higher the score, the more pressure the numbers put him under. It updates after each gameweek, and these scores are from after matchweek 8. How the index works
- Low 0–24
- Watch 25–49
- High 50–74
- Extreme 75–100
-
Pressure up 4 since matchweek 7
Sunderland have taken one point from their last five league games and are being outplayed by 1.1 expected goals a game over their last four. They have a goal difference of −8 in that run.
- League position
- 20th finished 7th last season
- Last 5 games
- 1 pt out of 15
- Without a win
- 6 league games
- xG difference
- −1.1 a game, last 4
-
No change since matchweek 7
Manchester United have taken three points from their last five league games and are being outplayed by 0.4 expected goals a game over their last four. They haven't won in six league games.
- League position
- 16th finished 3rd last season
- Last 5 games
- 3 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 6 league games
- xG difference
- −0.4 a game, last 4
-
No change since matchweek 7
Crystal Palace have taken four points from their last five league games and have a goal difference of −6 in that run. They are being outplayed by 0.9 expected goals a game over their last four.
- League position
- 17th finished 15th last season
- Last 5 games
- 4 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 2 league games
- xG difference
- −0.9 a game, last 4
-
No change since matchweek 7
Hull City have taken three points from their last five league games and haven't won in six league games. They have a goal difference of −2 in that run.
- League position
- 10th promoted
- Last 5 games
- 3 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 6 league games
- xG difference
- −0.3 a game, last 4
-
No change since matchweek 7
Coventry have a goal difference of −4 over their last five league games and have taken six points from those games. They are being outplayed by 0.5 expected goals a game over their last five.
- League position
- 19th promoted
- Last 5 games
- 6 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 2 league games
- xG difference
- −0.5 a game, last 5
-
No change since matchweek 7
Everton have taken five points from their last five league games and have a goal difference of −3 in that run. They haven't won in three league games.
- League position
- 11th finished 13th last season
- Last 5 games
- 5 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 3 league games
- xG difference
- −0.2 a game, last 5
-
No change since matchweek 7
Nottingham Forest have taken four points from their last five league games and have a goal difference of −3 in that run. They haven't won in four league games.
- League position
- 18th finished 16th last season
- Last 5 games
- 4 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 4 league games
- xG difference
- +0.9 a game, last 5
-
No change since matchweek 7
Brentford are being outplayed by 0.3 expected goals a game over their last four and have taken six points from their last five league games. They haven't won in three league games.
- League position
- 6th finished 9th last season
- Last 5 games
- 6 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 3 league games
- xG difference
- −0.3 a game, last 4
-
No change since matchweek 7
Ipswich are being outplayed by 0.8 expected goals a game over their last five and have taken seven points from their last five league games. They have 1.2 more points than their chances deserve.
- League position
- 12th promoted
- Last 5 games
- 7 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 2 league games
- xG difference
- −0.8 a game, last 5
-
No change since matchweek 7
Leeds have taken six points from their last five league games and haven't won in four league games. They have about the points their chances deserve.
- League position
- 7th finished 14th last season
- Last 5 games
- 6 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 4 league games
- xG difference
- +0.1 a game, last 4
-
Pressure up 1 since matchweek 7
Newcastle have a goal difference of −4 over their last five league games and have taken six points from those games. They are being outplayed by 0.4 expected goals a game over their last four.
- League position
- 8th finished 12th last season
- Last 5 games
- 6 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 0 league games
- xG difference
- −0.4 a game, last 4
-
No change since matchweek 7
Chelsea are being outplayed by 0.4 expected goals a game over their last five and have 3.0 more points than their chances deserve. They have taken seven points from their last five league games.
- League position
- 5th finished 10th last season
- Last 5 games
- 7 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 1 league game
- xG difference
- −0.4 a game, last 5
-
No change since matchweek 7
Fulham are creating 0.3 more expected goals a game than they concede over their last five and have 3.7 fewer points than their chances deserve. They have taken eight points from their last five league games.
- League position
- 15th finished 11th last season
- Last 5 games
- 8 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 0 league games
- xG difference
- +0.3 a game, last 5
-
No change since matchweek 7
Bournemouth are creating 1.2 more expected goals a game than they concede over their last four and have 5.4 fewer points than their chances deserve. They are 13th, seven places below where they finished last season.
- League position
- 13th finished 6th last season
- Last 5 games
- 7 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 0 league games
- xG difference
- +1.2 a game, last 4
-
Pressure up 1 since matchweek 7
Aston Villa have taken ten points from their last five league games and are 9th, five places below where they finished last season. They have a goal difference of +2 in that run.
- League position
- 9th finished 4th last season
- Last 5 games
- 10 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 0 league games
- xG difference
- −0.3 a game, last 5
-
No change since matchweek 7
Tottenham are 14th, three places above where they finished last season and are creating 0.2 more expected goals a game than they concede over their last five. They have a goal difference of +3 over their last five league games.
- League position
- 14th finished 17th last season
- Last 5 games
- 8 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 0 league games
- xG difference
- +0.2 a game, last 5
-
No change since matchweek 7
Manchester City are 1st, one place above where they finished last season and have taken 12 points from their last five league games. They have a goal difference of +6 in that run.
- League position
- 1st finished 2nd last season
- Last 5 games
- 12 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 1 league game
- xG difference
- +0.6 a game, last 5
-
No change since matchweek 7
Liverpool are 4th, one place above where they finished last season and have taken ten points from their last five league games. They are creating 0.4 more expected goals a game than they concede over their last four.
- League position
- 4th finished 5th last season
- Last 5 games
- 10 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 0 league games
- xG difference
- +0.4 a game, last 4
-
No change since matchweek 7
Arsenal have taken 12 points from their last five league games and are 2nd, one place below where they finished last season. They have a goal difference of +3 in that run.
- League position
- 2nd finished 1st last season
- Last 5 games
- 12 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 0 league games
- xG difference
- +0.7 a game, last 5
-
No change since matchweek 7
Brighton are 3rd, five places above where they finished last season and have taken 12 points from their last five league games. They have a goal difference of +13 in that run.
- League position
- 3rd finished 8th last season
- Last 5 games
- 12 pts out of 15
- Without a win
- 1 league game
- xG difference
- +0.8 a game, last 4
Club manager markets
Next permanent Manchester United manager
| Manager |
Coral
|
Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Howe | 8/11 | 34% |
| Julian Nagelsmann | 7/2 | 13% |
| Antonio Conte | 9/2 | 11% |
|
Fabian Hürzeler
Now at Brighton
|
14/1 | 4.0% |
|
Unai Emery
Now at Aston Villa
|
16/1 | 3.5% |
| Kieran McKenna | 16/1 | 3.5% |
| Thomas Tuchel | 20/1 | 2.8% |
| Cesc Fabregas | 20/1 | 2.8% |
Prices from Coral, Ladbrokes at 25 Oct, 20:30 (one platform, the same prices). The 8 shortest of 28 names.
Premier League managers sacked in 2026/27
No Premier League manager has left during 2026/27 so far. These are the managers who left over the summer, and who replaced them.
| Manager | Left | How | League games | Points a game | Replaced by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Eddie Howe
Newcastle
|
30 Jul 2026 Summer | Resigned | 179 | 1.62 | Matthias Jaissle |
|
Vítor Pereira
Nottingham Forest
|
2 Jul 2026 Summer | Sacked | 12 | 1.42 | Oliver Glasner |
|
Kieran McKenna
Ipswich
|
10 Jun 2026 Summer | Resigned | 38 | 0.58 | Gary O'Neil |
|
Marco Silva
Fulham
|
2 Jun 2026 Summer | Contract ended | 152 | 1.35 | Álvaro Arbeloa |
|
Arne Slot
Liverpool
|
30 May 2026 Summer | Sacked | 76 | 1.89 | Andoni Iraola |
|
Oliver Glasner
Crystal Palace
|
27 May 2026 Summer | Contract ended | 89 | 1.37 | Pierre Sage |
|
Andoni Iraola
Bournemouth
|
24 May 2026 Summer | Contract ended | 114 | 1.41 | Marco Rose |
|
Pep Guardiola
Manchester City
|
24 May 2026 Summer | Resigned | 380 | 2.28 | Enzo Maresca |
League games and points a game cover his whole spell at the club, Premier League only.
All 20 Premier League managers 2026/27, longest-serving first
| Manager | In charge | Premier League record | Points a game |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Mikel Arteta
Arsenal
|
6 years 10 months since 22 Dec 2019 | 256 games Won 156, drawn 48, lost 52 | 2.02 |
|
Unai Emery
Aston Villa
|
3 years 11 months since 1 Nov 2022 | 147 games Won 76, drawn 31, lost 40 | 1.76 |
|
Daniel Farke
Leeds
|
3 years 3 months since 4 Jul 2023 | 46 games Won 13, drawn 19, lost 14 | 1.26 |
|
Régis Le Bris
Sunderland
|
2 years 3 months since 1 Jul 2024 | 46 games Won 15, drawn 14, lost 17 | 1.28 |
|
Fabian Hürzeler
Brighton
|
2 years 3 months since 2 Jul 2024 | 84 games Won 35, drawn 25, lost 24 | 1.55 |
|
Frank Lampard
Coventry
|
1 year 10 months since 28 Nov 2024 | 8 games Won 2, drawn 0, lost 6 Plus 75 Championship games before promotion (won 44, drawn 15, lost 16) | 0.751.96 in the Championship |
|
David Moyes
Everton
|
1 year 9 months since 11 Jan 2025 | 65 games Won 23, drawn 21, lost 21 | 1.38 |
|
Sergej Jakirović
Hull City
|
1 year 4 months since 11 Jun 2025 | 8 games Won 2, drawn 4, lost 2 Plus 46 Championship games before promotion (won 21, drawn 10, lost 15) | 1.251.59 in the Championship |
|
Keith Andrews
Brentford
|
1 year 3 months since 27 Jun 2025 | 46 games Won 16, drawn 16, lost 14 | 1.39 |
|
Michael Carrick
Manchester United
|
9 months since 13 Jan 2026 | 25 games Won 13, drawn 7, lost 5 | 1.84 |
|
Roberto De Zerbi
Tottenham
|
6 months since 31 Mar 2026 | 15 games Won 5, drawn 5, lost 5 | 1.33 |
|
Marco Rose
Bournemouth
|
4 months since 1 Jun 2026 | 8 games Won 2, drawn 3, lost 3 | 1.13 |
|
Andoni Iraola
Liverpool
|
4 months since 4 Jun 2026 | 8 games Won 4, drawn 3, lost 1 | 1.88 |
|
Pierre Sage
Crystal Palace
|
4 months since 15 Jun 2026 | 8 games Won 2, drawn 1, lost 5 | 0.88 |
|
Gary O'Neil
Ipswich
|
4 months since 23 Jun 2026 | 8 games Won 3, drawn 1, lost 4 | 1.25 |
|
Enzo Maresca
Manchester City
|
3 months since 29 Jun 2026 | 8 games Won 7, drawn 0, lost 1 | 2.63 |
|
Xabi Alonso
Chelsea
|
3 months since 1 Jul 2026 | 8 games Won 4, drawn 1, lost 3 | 1.63 |
|
Oliver Glasner
Nottingham Forest
|
3 months since 6 Jul 2026 | 8 games Won 1, drawn 3, lost 4 | 0.75 |
|
Álvaro Arbeloa
Fulham
|
3 months since 7 Jul 2026 | 8 games Won 2, drawn 2, lost 4 | 1.00 |
|
Matthias Jaissle
Newcastle
|
2 months since 5 Aug 2026 | 8 games Won 3, drawn 2, lost 3 | 1.38 |
Records are with his current club. Championship games for promoted clubs are regular-season league games before promotion (source: football-data.co.uk), not counting play-off games.
How many managers leave in a season
Permanent managers who left a Premier League club during the season, over the last ten seasons: 7.4 a season on average. Summer departures are not counted.
Does sacking the manager work?
Across the 106 in-season sackings since 2010/11 with five league games either side, 76 of the 106 clubs picked up more points after the change.
Part of that bounce would have come anyway: clubs tend to sack managers after their worst run, and results usually drift back towards normal on their own.
How the index works
What goes into the score
- Recent form 26% Points from the last five league games, with cup games counted at a lower weight.
- Table against expectation 26% League position against last season's finish (promoted clubs are expected to finish 18th), plus how close the club is to the bottom three. It counts for less early in the season.
- Winless run 14% League games without a win. A cup win doesn't end the run.
- xG trend 16% Expected-goals difference per game over the last five, and whether it is getting better or worse.
- Points against xPts 8% Points won against expected points (xPts). A side picking up fewer points than its chances deserve is under less pressure on merit.
- Goal difference, last five 10% Goal difference over the last five league games.
- A new manager's score is scaled down over his first six games, so a fresh appointment doesn't top the index on his predecessor's results.
- Caretakers and interim managers are shown but not ranked.
- Where there isn't enough xG or xPts data yet, those parts drop out and the others are reweighted.
Pressure bands
- Low 0 to 24
- Watch 25 to 49
- High 50 to 74
- Extreme 75 to 100
How it would have done
We replayed every matchweek of 2023/24 to 2025/26 with the same scoring. Of the 18 managers sacked or let go by mutual consent during those seasons, 14 were in our top five the week before they went (13 in the top three). Going by the table alone, 12 of them had a club in the bottom five at that point. Four weeks out the index is no better than the table: 9 of 17 were in our top five, against 11 in the bottom five.
About the odds
Chance is the probability the prices imply once each bookmaker's margin is taken out, averaged across the bookies that price the market. Some bookies share a platform and carry the same prices: Ladbrokes and Coral, and Unibet, BetMGM and LeoVegas. The best price for a manager is highlighted only where the bookies differ.
Updates and sources
We check who manages each club twice a day and confirm every change before it reaches this page. Prices are collected four times a day, and the index updates after each gameweek.
Managers: the Premier League's data, Wikipedia and club announcements, confirmed by us.
The index reads public performance only. It can't see a club's finances, the dressing room or what the owners think, so it isn't a forecast of when anyone will be sacked.
Sack race questions
Who is favourite to be the next Premier League manager sacked?
Michael Carrick (Manchester United) is the favourite at 2/5 (Coral, Ladbrokes). Odds move quickly, and the table above shows when each price was checked.
How many Premier League managers have been sacked in 2026/27?
None so far this season. Eight managers left their clubs over the summer, and they are all listed above.
Who is the longest-serving Premier League manager?
Mikel Arteta at Arsenal, in charge since 22 Dec 2019.
How does a "next manager to leave" bet settle?
It pays out on the first Premier League manager to leave his job, whether he is sacked, resigns or goes by mutual consent. Bookmakers differ on caretakers and on exits between seasons, so check the rules on the bet before you place it.
How is the pressure index different from the odds?
The odds are the bookmakers' view, and they include their margin. Our index is built only from results, the table, xG and how each club is doing against last season, so the two don't always agree. When they differ, that's worth a look.
18+ only. Odds are for information and change quickly. Bet only what you can afford to lose. For free, confidential help, visit BeGambleAware.org.
