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Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli title fight odds

bet365's prices for Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli: to win, method of victory, total rounds and round betting, plus the bet365 new customer offer.

News

Canelo Alvarez is back in the ring on Saturday 31 October in Riyadh, and for the first time since 2022, he’s going in as the challenger. We’re expecting Christian Mbilli, the WBC Super Middleweight champion, to make it an explosive fight.

bet365 makes Canelo the clear favourite at 10/33 to win the fight, with Mbilli at 12/5. Full prices are below, along with fight details and how to watch in the UK.

Canelo Álvarez vs Christian Mbilli WBC Title Bets

When and where is the fight

Canelo Alvarez fights Christian Mbilli for the WBC super middleweight title on Saturday 31 October at The Venue (ANB Arena) in Riyadh’s Boulevard City. As well as the title fight, we’re getting a 10-bout Riyadh Season card billed as “Mexico vs the World”, over 12 rounds.

The date has already moved once: it was initially set for 12 September, but in July Canelo said a family matter delayed his training camp, so it moved to the end of October. Both men have been out for more than a year. Canelo last fought in September 2025, and Mbilli did too, on the same night and card in Las Vegas.

How to watch in the UK

The fight is on DAZN pay-per-view in the UK for £24.99. DAZN’s coverage starts at 5pm GMT, and it expects the main event ring walks at about 8.30pm GMT. Fight-night timings often slip, so check DAZN on the day.

The undercard includes Jaime Munguia against Nikita Zon for Munguia’s WBA super middleweight title (Canelo beat Munguia on points in May 2024), and Rafael Espinoza against Ricardo Blandon for Espinoza’s WBO featherweight title.

To win the fight

bet365 prices as of 30 October 2026. Odds change, so check the latest price on bet365 before you bet.

MarketCanelo AlvarezChristian Mbilli
To win10/3312/5
By KO, TKO or disqualification15/49/1
By decision or technical decision8/114/1

Draw or technical draw: 12/1.

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Will it go the distance?

Fight to go the distance: Yes 2/7, No 5/2.

Total roundsOverUnder
3.51/6620/1
4.51/4016/1
5.51/2010/1
6.51/148/1
7.51/106/1
8.51/79/2
9.52/117/2
10.52/93/1

Round betting

To win inCanelo AlvarezChristian Mbilli
Rounds 1 to 333/166/1
Rounds 4 to 614/128/1
Rounds 7 to 910/120/1
Rounds 10 to 1211/122/1

The prices point to a long night. bet365 has the fight going the distance at 2/7, and Canelo’s shortest winning method is on points at 8/11.

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Canelo Alvarez

Saul “Canelo” Alvarez is 36, from Guadalajara in Mexico, and turned professional at 15. He has won world titles in four weight classes, from light middleweight to light heavyweight, and in 2021 became the first boxer to hold all four major super middleweight belts at once.

His record is 63 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, with 39 wins inside the distance. The last of those stoppages came in 2021. Since then he has gone 6-2, and all eight of those fights went to the scorecards. That fits bet365’s 2/7 for the fight to go the distance.

The last fight was the hardest of his recent run. Terence Crawford beat him on a unanimous decision in Las Vegas in September 2025 and took his undisputed titles. Canelo had surgery on his left elbow soon after, and this is his first fight since. It is also the first time he has gone in as the challenger since he lost to Dmitry Bivol at light heavyweight in May 2022.

Christian Mbilli

Christian Mbilli is 31. He was born in Yaoundé, Cameroon, boxed for France at the 2016 Olympics in Rio, and now fights out of Quebec, where he has spent most of his professional career. He became a Canadian citizen in 2023. His nickname is “Solide”.

He is unbeaten in 30 fights: 29 wins, 24 of them inside the distance, and one draw. He won the interim WBC title in June 2025 by stopping Maciej Sulecki in the first round. In September 2025 he drew with Lester Martinez on a split decision on the Canelo v Crawford undercard. The WBC made him its full champion in January 2026, after Crawford gave up the title.

This is by a distance the biggest name he has faced.

Which fighter has the edge?

Canelo AlvarezChristian Mbilli
Age3631
FromGuadalajara, MexicoYaoundé, Cameroon (based in Quebec, Canada)
Record63-3-229-0-1
Wins inside the distance3924
Height5ft 7½in (171cm)5ft 8½in (174cm)
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Last fightLost to Terence Crawford, 13 September 2025Drew with Lester Martinez, 13 September 2025

Last five fights

Canelo Alvarez

DateOpponentResultVenue
13 Sep 2025Terence CrawfordLost, unanimous decisionAllegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
3 May 2025William ScullWon, unanimous decisionANB Arena, Riyadh
14 Sep 2024Edgar BerlangaWon, unanimous decisionT-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
4 May 2024Jaime MunguiaWon, unanimous decisionT-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
30 Sep 2023Jermell CharloWon, unanimous decisionT-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Christian Mbilli

DateOpponentResultVenue
13 Sep 2025Lester MartinezDraw, split decisionAllegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
27 Jun 2025Maciej SuleckiWon, KO round 1Videotron Centre, Quebec City
17 Aug 2024Sergiy DerevyanchenkoWon, unanimous decisionVideotron Centre, Quebec City
25 May 2024Mark HeffronWon, KO round 1Centre Gervais Auto, Shawinigan
13 Jan 2024Rohan MurdockWon, retired after round 6Videotron Centre, Quebec City

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